Source
from NEW YORK (CNN/Money)

Home prices in Salt Lake City? "Too low."
But, in Tucson, Ariz. "Just right."
These were the conclusions of study by Richard DeKaser, chief
economist for National City Corp., who ranked 99 major real
estate markets based on how much they are under or overpriced
relative to what he deems "normal housing values."
In 2004, houses in Chico, Calif. sold for 43 percent more than
their fair value, according to DeKaser, while houses in Salt
Lake City sold for 23 percent less than their fair value.
To come up with each market fair value DeKaser studied data
going back 25 years. Among other things, he looked at how much
buyers are paying today relative to their incomes verses how
much they paid in the past. This helps take into account the
premium buyers are willing to pay for such things as location,
weather and amenities.
For example, historically residents of Los Angeles have spent
four to six times their income while residents of Kalamazoo
have spent only twice their annual income, he said.
His conclusion: 27 of the markets in his study are overvalued,
29 are undervalued and 43 are fairly valued, with prices no
higher or lower than 10 percent of their fair value.
"There are two ways these valuations can be corrected,"
he said, explaining that his valuations are not unlike the price-to-earnings
ratios used to value stock. "Either prices decline or the
underlying fundamentals improve." |
|
| |
City/Metro
Area |
percent
over/under
fair value* |
|
|
City/Metro
Area |
percent
over/under
fair value* |
|
|
City/Metro
Area |
percent
over/under
fair value* |
| |
Chico,
CA |
43% |
|
|
Philadelphia,
PA |
6% |
|
|
Austin,
TX |
-5% |
| |
Stockton,
CA |
34% |
|
|
Milwaukee,
WI |
6% |
|
|
Charleston,
SC |
-5% |
| |
Santa
Barbara, CA |
34% |
|
|
Providence,
RI |
5% |
|
|
Dayton,
OH |
-5% |
| |
Los
Angeles, CA |
32% |
|
|
Toledo,
OH |
5% |
|
|
Hartford,
CT |
-6% |
| |
San
Francisco, CA |
30% |
|
|
Bakersfield,
CA |
5% |
|
|
Cincinnati,
OH |
-6% |
| |
Modesto,
CA |
30% |
|
|
San
Antonio, TX |
3% |
|
|
Madison,
WI |
-6% |
| |
San
Diego, CA |
28% |
|
|
Jacksonville,
FL |
3% |
|
|
Charlotte,
NC |
-6% |
| |
W.
Palm, FL |
26% |
|
|
Rockford,
IL |
2% |
|
|
Columbus,
OH |
-7% |
| |
Sacramento,
CA |
25% |
|
|
Orlando,
FL |
2% |
|
|
Davenport,
IA |
-7% |
| |
Las
Vegas, NV |
24% |
|
|
Visalia,
CA |
2% |
|
|
Columbia,
SC |
-8% |
| |
Portland,
OR |
24% |
|
|
Raleigh,
NC |
2% |
|
|
Nashville,
TN |
-8% |
| |
Miami,
FL |
23% |
|
|
Phoenix,
AZ |
2% |
|
|
Omaha,
NE |
-9% |
| |
Sarasota,
FL |
22% |
|
|
Canton,
OH |
1% |
|
|
Des
Moines, IA |
-10% |
| |
Detroit,
MI |
22% |
|
|
Louisville,
KY |
0% |
|
|
Tulsa,
OK |
-10% |
| |
Saginaw,
MI |
21% |
|
|
Tucson,
AZ |
0% |
|
|
Harrisburg,
PA |
-10% |
| |
Bellingham,
WA |
21% |
|
|
Tampa,
FL |
-1% |
|
|
Lincoln,
NE |
-11% |
| |
Fresno,
CA |
19% |
|
|
Atlanta,
GA |
-1% |
|
|
Houston,
TX |
-11% |
| |
Reno,
NV |
19% |
|
|
Daytona
Beach, FL |
-1% |
|
|
Dallas,
TX |
-11% |
| |
New
York, NY |
16% |
|
|
Richmond,
VA |
-1% |
|
|
Wichita,
KS |
-11% |
| |
St.
Louis, MO |
16% |
|
|
Greensboro,
NC |
-1% |
|
|
Buffalo,
NY |
-11% |
| |
Greenville,
SC |
15% |
|
|
Colorado
Springs, CO |
-1% |
|
|
Topeka,
KS |
-13% |
| |
Boston,
MA |
14% |
|
|
Boise
City, ID |
-1% |
|
|
Birmingham,
AL |
-13% |
| |
Honolulu,
HI |
14% |
|
|
Fort
Collins, CO |
-2% |
|
|
Rochester,
NY |
-13% |
| |
Denver,
CO |
14% |
|
|
Spokane,
WA |
-2% |
|
|
Oklahoma
City, OK |
-13% |
| |
Seattle,
WA |
14% |
|
|
Allentown,
PA |
-2% |
|
|
Baton
Rouge, LA |
-14% |
| |
Eugene,
OR |
13% |
|
|
Kansas
City, MO |
-2% |
|
|
New
Orleans, LA |
-14% |
| |
Chicago,
IL |
11% |
|
|
Peoria,
IL |
-3% |
|
|
Albuquerque,
NM |
-14% |
| |
Washington,
DC |
10% |
|
|
Richland,
WA |
-3% |
|
|
Syracuse,
NY |
-16% |
| |
Minneapolis,
MN |
10% |
|
|
Lancaster,
PA |
-5% |
|
|
Beaumont,
TX |
-16% |
| |
Lansing,
MI |
8% |
|
|
Indianapolis,
IN |
-5% |
|
|
Little
Rock, AR |
-16% |
| |
Kalamazoo,
MI |
8% |
|
|
Norfolk,
VA |
-5% |
|
|
Macon,
GA |
-17% |
| |
Cleveland,
OH |
7% |
|
|
Pittsburgh,
PA |
-5% |
|
|
Memphis,
TN |
-20% |
| |
Grand
Rapids, MI |
6% |
|
|
Fort
Wayne, IN |
-5% |
|
|
Salt
Lake, UT |
-23% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|